Bayern Munichvs
Hertha BSC BerlinBayern Munich 2-0 Hertha BSC Berlin — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2022-2023Sun, 30 Apr 2023 13:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Bayern Munich85%
- Bayern Munich 85%
- Draw 12%
- Hertha BSC Berlin 3%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Bayern Munich, rating it at 84.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Bayern Munich won all of them. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 11.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Bayern Munich's games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Bayern Munich: WWWWW
Hertha BSC Berlin: WDWWD
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 4.17Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-04-30 | Bayern Munich vs Hertha BSC Berlin | 2–0 |
| 2022-11-05 | Hertha BSC Berlin vs Bayern Munich | 2–3 |
| 2022-01-23 | Hertha BSC Berlin vs Bayern Munich | 1–4 |
| 2021-08-28 | Bayern Munich vs Hertha BSC Berlin | 5–0 |
| 2021-02-05 | Hertha BSC Berlin vs Bayern Munich | 0–1 |
| 2020-10-04 | Bayern Munich vs Hertha BSC Berlin | 4–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Bayern Munich vs Hertha BSC Berlin?
- Tofiko's model favours Bayern Munich (85% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Bayern Munich vs Hertha BSC Berlin kick off?
- Sun, 30 Apr 2023 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2022-2023.
- What is the Bayern Munich vs Hertha BSC Berlin head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 4.17 goals per game.