Bayern Munich crestBayern MunichvsGreuther Furth crestGreuther Furth

Bayern Munich 4-1 Greuther Furth — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2021-2022Sun, 20 Feb 2022 14:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Bayern Munich90%

  • Bayern Munich 90%
  • Draw 9%
  • Greuther Furth 2%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Bayern Munich, rating it at 89.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Bayern Munich won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 89.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 8.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Bayern Munich's games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 3 Sep 2026.

Bayern Munich: WWWWW

Greuther Furth: WLLDW

Head-to-head

As of 3 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 4.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2022-02-20Bayern Munich vs Greuther Furth4–1
2021-09-24Greuther Furth vs Bayern Munich1–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Bayern Munich vs Greuther Furth?
Tofiko's model favours Bayern Munich (90% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Bayern Munich vs Greuther Furth kick off?
Sun, 20 Feb 2022 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2021-2022.
What is the Bayern Munich vs Greuther Furth head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.

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