Greuther Furth crestGreuther FurthvsBorussia Dortmund crestBorussia Dortmund

Greuther Furth 1-3 Borussia Dortmund — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2021-2022Sat, 07 May 2022 13:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Borussia Dortmund76%

  • Greuther Furth 9%
  • Draw 15%
  • Borussia Dortmund 76%
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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Borussia Dortmund, rating it at 76.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Greuther Furth won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 76.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 14.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Greuther Furth's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 3 Sep 2026.

Greuther Furth: WLLDW

Borussia Dortmund: WWLDD

Head-to-head

As of 3 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2022-05-07Greuther Furth vs Borussia Dortmund1–3
2021-12-15Borussia Dortmund vs Greuther Furth3–0

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FAQ

Who will win Greuther Furth vs Borussia Dortmund?
Tofiko's model favours Borussia Dortmund (76% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Greuther Furth vs Borussia Dortmund kick off?
Sat, 07 May 2022 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2021-2022.
What is the Greuther Furth vs Borussia Dortmund head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

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