VfL Bochumvs
Borussia DortmundVfL Bochum 2-0 Borussia Dortmund — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2024-2025Sat, 15 Feb 2025 14:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Borussia Dortmund66%
- VfL Bochum 15%
- Draw 19%
- Borussia Dortmund 66%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Borussia Dortmund, rating it at 66.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and VfL Bochum won 2 of 8, with 3 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Borussia Dortmund's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. VfL Bochum's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 18.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Borussia Dortmund's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
VfL Bochum: LWWLD
Borussia Dortmund: WWLDD
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 8Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-15 | VfL Bochum vs Borussia Dortmund | 2–0 |
| 2024-09-27 | Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Bochum | 4–2 |
| 2024-01-28 | Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Bochum | 3–1 |
| 2023-08-26 | VfL Bochum vs Borussia Dortmund | 1–1 |
| 2023-04-28 | VfL Bochum vs Borussia Dortmund | 1–1 |
| 2022-11-05 | Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Bochum | 3–0 |
| 2022-04-30 | Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Bochum | 3–4 |
| 2021-12-11 | VfL Bochum vs Borussia Dortmund | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win VfL Bochum vs Borussia Dortmund?
- Tofiko's model favours Borussia Dortmund (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does VfL Bochum vs Borussia Dortmund kick off?
- Sat, 15 Feb 2025 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2024-2025.
- What is the VfL Bochum vs Borussia Dortmund head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.