Hertha BSC Berlinvs
AugsburgHertha BSC Berlin 2-0 Augsburg — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2022-2023Sat, 25 Feb 2023 14:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Hertha BSC Berlin39%
- Hertha BSC Berlin 39%
- Draw 24%
- Augsburg 37%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Hertha BSC Berlin, rating it at 39.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Hertha BSC Berlin won 5 of 6, with 1 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Augsburg's last 5 produced 29 goals — 5.8 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 2. Hertha BSC Berlin's 5 produced 20, at 4.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Augsburg's games are very high-scoring at 5.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 3 Sep 2026.
Hertha BSC Berlin: WDWWD
Augsburg: WWLWW
Head-to-head
As of 3 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 2.17Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-02-25 | Hertha BSC Berlin vs Augsburg | 2–0 |
| 2022-09-04 | Augsburg vs Hertha BSC Berlin | 0–2 |
| 2022-04-16 | Augsburg vs Hertha BSC Berlin | 0–1 |
| 2021-11-27 | Hertha BSC Berlin vs Augsburg | 1–1 |
| 2021-03-06 | Hertha BSC Berlin vs Augsburg | 2–1 |
| 2020-11-07 | Augsburg vs Hertha BSC Berlin | 0–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Hertha BSC Berlin vs Augsburg?
- Tofiko's model favours Hertha BSC Berlin (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Hertha BSC Berlin vs Augsburg kick off?
- Sat, 25 Feb 2023 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2022-2023.
- What is the Hertha BSC Berlin vs Augsburg head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.17 goals per game.