VfL Bochum crestVfL BochumvsFC Augsburg crestFC Augsburg

VfL Bochum 1-2 FC Augsburg — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2024-2025Sat, 12 Apr 2025 13:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Augsburg38%

  • VfL Bochum 37%
  • Draw 25%
  • FC Augsburg 38%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick FC Augsburg, rating it at 38.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and VfL Bochum won 3 of 8, with 2 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

They arrive from very different football. FC Augsburg's last 5 produced 29 goals — 5.8 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 2. VfL Bochum's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.

The model puts the draw at 24.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • FC Augsburg's games are very high-scoring at 5.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

VfL Bochum: LWWLD

FC Augsburg: WWLWW

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 8Games
  • 2.88Avg goals
  • 63%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-04-12VfL Bochum vs FC Augsburg1–2
2024-11-30FC Augsburg vs VfL Bochum1–0
2024-02-03VfL Bochum vs Augsburg1–1
2023-09-02Augsburg vs VfL Bochum2–2
2023-05-13VfL Bochum vs Augsburg3–2
2022-11-12Augsburg vs VfL Bochum0–1
2022-04-24VfL Bochum vs Augsburg0–2
2021-12-04Augsburg vs VfL Bochum2–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win VfL Bochum vs FC Augsburg?
Tofiko's model favours FC Augsburg (38% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does VfL Bochum vs FC Augsburg kick off?
Sat, 12 Apr 2025 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2024-2025.
What is the VfL Bochum vs FC Augsburg head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.88 goals per game.

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