Schalke 04vs
Hertha BSC BerlinSchalke 04 5-2 Hertha BSC Berlin — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2022-2023Fri, 14 Apr 2023 18:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Hertha BSC Berlin39%
- Schalke 04 37%
- Draw 24%
- Hertha BSC Berlin 39%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Hertha BSC Berlin, rating it at 39.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Schalke 04 won 1 of 6, with 1 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 23.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Hertha BSC Berlin's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Schalke 04: LDLLW
Hertha BSC Berlin: WDWWD
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 3.17Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 83%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | Hertha BSC vs FC Schalke 04 | 0–0 |
| 2025-08-01 | FC Schalke 04 vs Hertha BSC | 2–1 |
| 2023-04-14 | Schalke 04 vs Hertha BSC Berlin | 5–2 |
| 2022-10-23 | Hertha BSC Berlin vs Schalke 04 | 2–1 |
| 2021-05-12 | Schalke 04 vs Hertha BSC Berlin | 1–2 |
| 2021-01-02 | Hertha BSC Berlin vs Schalke 04 | 3–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Schalke 04 vs Hertha BSC Berlin?
- Tofiko's model favours Hertha BSC Berlin (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Schalke 04 vs Hertha BSC Berlin kick off?
- Fri, 14 Apr 2023 18:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2022-2023.
- What is the Schalke 04 vs Hertha BSC Berlin head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.17 goals per game.