VfL Bochumvs
Schalke 04VfL Bochum 0-2 Schalke 04 — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2022-2023Sat, 04 Mar 2023 14:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs VfL Bochum53%
- VfL Bochum 53%
- Draw 23%
- Schalke 04 24%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick VfL Bochum, rating it at 52.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and VfL Bochum won 1 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 52.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Schalke 04's last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 2 of them and conceded in 4. VfL Bochum's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 3 Sep 2026.
VfL Bochum: LWWLD
Schalke 04: LDLLW
Head-to-head
As of 3 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.75Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | VfL Bochum vs FC Schalke 04 | 2–0 |
| 2025-08-23 | FC Schalke 04 vs VfL Bochum | 2–1 |
| 2023-03-04 | VfL Bochum vs Schalke 04 | 0–2 |
| 2022-09-10 | Schalke 04 vs VfL Bochum | 3–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win VfL Bochum vs Schalke 04?
- Tofiko's model favours VfL Bochum (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does VfL Bochum vs Schalke 04 kick off?
- Sat, 04 Mar 2023 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2022-2023.
- What is the VfL Bochum vs Schalke 04 head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.