Borussia Dortmundvs
Hertha BSC BerlinBorussia Dortmund 4-1 Hertha BSC Berlin — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2022-2023Sun, 19 Feb 2023 16:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Borussia Dortmund76%
- Borussia Dortmund 76%
- Draw 16%
- Hertha BSC Berlin 8%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Borussia Dortmund, rating it at 75.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Borussia Dortmund won 5 of 6. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 16.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Borussia Dortmund's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 3 Sep 2026.
Borussia Dortmund: WWLDD
Hertha BSC Berlin: WDWWD
Head-to-head
As of 3 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 3.83Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-02-19 | Borussia Dortmund vs Hertha BSC Berlin | 4–1 |
| 2022-08-27 | Hertha BSC Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund | 0–1 |
| 2022-05-14 | Borussia Dortmund vs Hertha BSC Berlin | 2–1 |
| 2021-12-18 | Hertha BSC Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund | 3–2 |
| 2021-03-13 | Borussia Dortmund vs Hertha BSC Berlin | 2–0 |
| 2020-11-21 | Hertha BSC Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund | 2–5 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs Hertha BSC Berlin?
- Tofiko's model favours Borussia Dortmund (76% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Borussia Dortmund vs Hertha BSC Berlin kick off?
- Sun, 19 Feb 2023 16:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2022-2023.
- What is the Borussia Dortmund vs Hertha BSC Berlin head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.83 goals per game.