SC Freiburgvs
Hertha BSC BerlinSC Freiburg 1-1 Hertha BSC Berlin — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2022-2023Sat, 01 Apr 2023 13:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs SC Freiburg61%
- SC Freiburg 61%
- Draw 22%
- Hertha BSC Berlin 18%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick SC Freiburg, rating it at 60.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and SC Freiburg won 3 of 6, with 2 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 21.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- SC Freiburg's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 3 Sep 2026.
SC Freiburg: WWWWW
Hertha BSC Berlin: WDWWD
Head-to-head
As of 3 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 3.33Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 83%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-04-01 | SC Freiburg vs Hertha BSC Berlin | 1–1 |
| 2022-10-09 | Hertha BSC Berlin vs SC Freiburg | 2–2 |
| 2022-02-26 | SC Freiburg vs Hertha BSC Berlin | 3–0 |
| 2021-10-02 | Hertha BSC Berlin vs SC Freiburg | 1–2 |
| 2021-05-06 | Hertha BSC Berlin vs SC Freiburg | 3–0 |
| 2020-12-20 | SC Freiburg vs Hertha BSC Berlin | 4–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win SC Freiburg vs Hertha BSC Berlin?
- Tofiko's model favours SC Freiburg (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does SC Freiburg vs Hertha BSC Berlin kick off?
- Sat, 01 Apr 2023 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2022-2023.
- What is the SC Freiburg vs Hertha BSC Berlin head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.33 goals per game.