Hertha BSC Berlin 2-1 VfB Stuttgart — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2022-2023Sat, 06 May 2023 13:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs VfB Stuttgart53%
- Hertha BSC Berlin 25%
- Draw 22%
- VfB Stuttgart 53%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick VfB Stuttgart, rating it at 53.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Hertha BSC Berlin won 2 of 6, with 2 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 22.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Hertha BSC Berlin's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Hertha BSC Berlin: WDWWD
VfB Stuttgart: LWLWW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 2.67Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-05-06 | Hertha BSC Berlin vs VfB Stuttgart | 2–1 |
| 2022-11-08 | VfB Stuttgart vs Hertha BSC Berlin | 2–1 |
| 2022-04-24 | Hertha BSC Berlin vs VfB Stuttgart | 2–0 |
| 2021-12-05 | VfB Stuttgart vs Hertha BSC Berlin | 2–2 |
| 2021-02-13 | VfB Stuttgart vs Hertha BSC Berlin | 1–1 |
| 2020-10-17 | Hertha BSC Berlin vs VfB Stuttgart | 0–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Hertha BSC Berlin vs VfB Stuttgart?
- Tofiko's model favours VfB Stuttgart (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Hertha BSC Berlin vs VfB Stuttgart kick off?
- Sat, 06 May 2023 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2022-2023.
- What is the Hertha BSC Berlin vs VfB Stuttgart head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.