Hertha BSC Berlin crestHertha BSC BerlinvsVfB Stuttgart crestVfB Stuttgart

Hertha BSC Berlin 2-1 VfB Stuttgart — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2022-2023Sat, 06 May 2023 13:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs VfB Stuttgart53%

  • Hertha BSC Berlin 25%
  • Draw 22%
  • VfB Stuttgart 53%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick VfB Stuttgart, rating it at 53.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Hertha BSC Berlin won 2 of 6, with 2 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 22.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Hertha BSC Berlin's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

Hertha BSC Berlin: WDWWD

VfB Stuttgart: LWLWW

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 2.67Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2023-05-06Hertha BSC Berlin vs VfB Stuttgart2–1
2022-11-08VfB Stuttgart vs Hertha BSC Berlin2–1
2022-04-24Hertha BSC Berlin vs VfB Stuttgart2–0
2021-12-05VfB Stuttgart vs Hertha BSC Berlin2–2
2021-02-13VfB Stuttgart vs Hertha BSC Berlin1–1
2020-10-17Hertha BSC Berlin vs VfB Stuttgart0–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Hertha BSC Berlin vs VfB Stuttgart?
Tofiko's model favours VfB Stuttgart (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Hertha BSC Berlin vs VfB Stuttgart kick off?
Sat, 06 May 2023 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2022-2023.
What is the Hertha BSC Berlin vs VfB Stuttgart head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.

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