Hertha BSC Berlin 1-1 VfL Bochum — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2022-2023Sat, 20 May 2023 13:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Hertha BSC Berlin48%
- Hertha BSC Berlin 48%
- Draw 24%
- VfL Bochum 29%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Hertha BSC Berlin, rating it at 47.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 7 times, and Hertha BSC Berlin won 1 of 7, with 3 drawn. Across 7 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Hertha BSC Berlin's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. VfL Bochum's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Hertha BSC Berlin's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Hertha BSC Berlin: WDWWD
VfL Bochum: LWWLD
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 7Games
- 2.86Avg goals
- 86%Both scored
- 43%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | VfL Bochum vs Hertha BSC | 0–1 |
| 2026-03-14 | Hertha BSC vs VfL Bochum | 1–1 |
| 2025-10-18 | VfL Bochum vs Hertha BSC | 3–2 |
| 2023-05-20 | Hertha BSC Berlin vs VfL Bochum | 1–1 |
| 2023-01-21 | VfL Bochum vs Hertha BSC Berlin | 3–1 |
| 2022-02-04 | Hertha BSC Berlin vs VfL Bochum | 1–1 |
| 2021-09-12 | VfL Bochum vs Hertha BSC Berlin | 1–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Hertha BSC Berlin vs VfL Bochum?
- Tofiko's model favours Hertha BSC Berlin (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Hertha BSC Berlin vs VfL Bochum kick off?
- Sat, 20 May 2023 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2022-2023.
- What is the Hertha BSC Berlin vs VfL Bochum head-to-head record?
- In their last 7 meetings: 2 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.86 goals per game.