Hertha BSC Berlin crestHertha BSC BerlinvsVfL Bochum crestVfL Bochum

Hertha BSC Berlin 1-1 VfL Bochum — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2022-2023Sat, 20 May 2023 13:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Hertha BSC Berlin48%

  • Hertha BSC Berlin 48%
  • Draw 24%
  • VfL Bochum 29%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Hertha BSC Berlin, rating it at 47.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 7 times, and Hertha BSC Berlin won 1 of 7, with 3 drawn. Across 7 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

They arrive from very different football. Hertha BSC Berlin's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. VfL Bochum's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.

The model puts the draw at 23.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Hertha BSC Berlin's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

Hertha BSC Berlin: WDWWD

VfL Bochum: LWWLD

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 7Games
  • 2.86Avg goals
  • 86%Both scored
  • 43%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-07VfL Bochum vs Hertha BSC0–1
2026-03-14Hertha BSC vs VfL Bochum1–1
2025-10-18VfL Bochum vs Hertha BSC3–2
2023-05-20Hertha BSC Berlin vs VfL Bochum1–1
2023-01-21VfL Bochum vs Hertha BSC Berlin3–1
2022-02-04Hertha BSC Berlin vs VfL Bochum1–1
2021-09-12VfL Bochum vs Hertha BSC Berlin1–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Hertha BSC Berlin vs VfL Bochum?
Tofiko's model favours Hertha BSC Berlin (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Hertha BSC Berlin vs VfL Bochum kick off?
Sat, 20 May 2023 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2022-2023.
What is the Hertha BSC Berlin vs VfL Bochum head-to-head record?
In their last 7 meetings: 2 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.86 goals per game.

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