Hertha BSC Berlinvs
Werder BremenHertha BSC Berlin 2-4 Werder Bremen — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2022-2023Sat, 22 Apr 2023 13:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Werder Bremen39%
- Hertha BSC Berlin 37%
- Draw 24%
- Werder Bremen 39%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Werder Bremen, rating it at 39.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Hertha BSC Berlin won 1 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 39.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Hertha BSC Berlin's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Hertha BSC Berlin: WDWWD
Werder Bremen: LWLDD
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 4.25Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-04-22 | Hertha BSC Berlin vs Werder Bremen | 2–4 |
| 2022-10-28 | Werder Bremen vs Hertha BSC Berlin | 1–0 |
| 2021-01-23 | Hertha BSC Berlin vs Werder Bremen | 1–4 |
| 2020-09-19 | Werder Bremen vs Hertha BSC Berlin | 1–4 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Hertha BSC Berlin vs Werder Bremen?
- Tofiko's model favours Werder Bremen (39% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Hertha BSC Berlin vs Werder Bremen kick off?
- Sat, 22 Apr 2023 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2022-2023.
- What is the Hertha BSC Berlin vs Werder Bremen head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 4.25 goals per game.