Holstein Kiel crestHolstein Kielvs1. FC Heidenheim crest1. FC Heidenheim

Holstein Kiel 1-0 1. FC Heidenheim — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2024-2025Sat, 02 Nov 2024 14:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Holstein Kiel49%

Tofiko49% / 22% / 29%
Market37% / 26% / 37%
  • Holstein Kiel
  • Draw
  • 1. FC Heidenheim

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Holstein Kiel, rating it at 48.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Holstein Kiel won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. 1. FC Heidenheim's last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Holstein Kiel's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • 1. FC Heidenheim's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 24 Sep 2026.

Holstein Kiel: DLDLW

1. FC Heidenheim: DWWWL

Head-to-head

As of 24 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-131. FC Heidenheim vs Holstein Kiel1–0
2025-03-161. FC Heidenheim vs Holstein Kiel3–1
2024-11-02Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Heidenheim1–0

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FAQ

Who will win Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Heidenheim?
Tofiko's model favours Holstein Kiel (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Heidenheim kick off?
Sat, 02 Nov 2024 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2024-2025.
What is the Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Heidenheim head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First leg1. FC Heidenheim 3-1 Holstein Kiel16 Mar 2025 →