Holstein Kielvs
TSG 1899 HoffenheimHolstein Kiel 1-3 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2024-2025Sat, 18 Jan 2025 14:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim48%
- Holstein Kiel 32%
- Draw 20%
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 48%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, rating it at 47.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Holstein Kiel won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 47.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 20.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Holstein Kiel: LWDDL
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: LWDLW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 4.33Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Holstein Kiel | 3–1 |
| 2025-01-18 | Holstein Kiel vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 1–3 |
| 2024-08-24 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Holstein Kiel | 3–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Holstein Kiel vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim?
- Tofiko's model favours TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Holstein Kiel vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim kick off?
- Sat, 18 Jan 2025 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2024-2025.
- What is the Holstein Kiel vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.33 goals per game.