Holstein Kielvs
VfL BochumHolstein Kiel 2-2 VfL Bochum — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2024-2025Sun, 09 Feb 2025 14:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Holstein Kiel51%
- Holstein Kiel 51%
- Draw 21%
- VfL Bochum 28%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Holstein Kiel, rating it at 51.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Holstein Kiel won 1 of 4, with 3 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 51.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Holstein Kiel's last 5 produced 16 goals — 3.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. VfL Bochum's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 21.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Holstein Kiel: LWDDL
VfL Bochum: LWWLD
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.75Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | VfL Bochum vs Holstein Kiel | 2–3 |
| 2025-10-25 | Holstein Kiel vs VfL Bochum | 1–1 |
| 2025-02-09 | Holstein Kiel vs VfL Bochum | 2–2 |
| 2024-09-21 | VfL Bochum vs Holstein Kiel | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Holstein Kiel vs VfL Bochum?
- Tofiko's model favours Holstein Kiel (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Holstein Kiel vs VfL Bochum kick off?
- Sun, 09 Feb 2025 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2024-2025.
- What is the Holstein Kiel vs VfL Bochum head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 0 home wins, 3 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.75 goals per game.