Arminia Bielefeld crestArminia BielefeldvsRB Leipzig crestRB Leipzig

Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 RB Leipzig — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2021-2022Sat, 14 May 2022 13:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs RB Leipzig59%

  • Arminia Bielefeld 18%
  • Draw 23%
  • RB Leipzig 59%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick RB Leipzig, rating it at 58.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Arminia Bielefeld won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 58.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 22.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 3 Sep 2026.

Arminia Bielefeld: LDWLL

RB Leipzig: WWLLW

Head-to-head

As of 3 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 25%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2022-05-14Arminia Bielefeld vs RB Leipzig1–1
2021-12-18RB Leipzig vs Arminia Bielefeld0–2
2021-03-19Arminia Bielefeld vs RB Leipzig0–1
2020-11-28RB Leipzig vs Arminia Bielefeld2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Arminia Bielefeld vs RB Leipzig?
Tofiko's model favours RB Leipzig (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Arminia Bielefeld vs RB Leipzig kick off?
Sat, 14 May 2022 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2021-2022.
What is the Arminia Bielefeld vs RB Leipzig head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

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