Hertha BSC Berlinvs
RB LeipzigHertha BSC Berlin 0-1 RB Leipzig — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2022-2023Sat, 08 Apr 2023 16:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs RB Leipzig59%
- Hertha BSC Berlin 20%
- Draw 21%
- RB Leipzig 59%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick RB Leipzig, rating it at 59.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Hertha BSC Berlin won none of them. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 20.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Hertha BSC Berlin's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 3 Sep 2026.
Hertha BSC Berlin: WDWWD
RB Leipzig: WWLLW
Head-to-head
As of 3 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 4.17Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 83%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-04-08 | Hertha BSC Berlin vs RB Leipzig | 0–1 |
| 2022-10-15 | RB Leipzig vs Hertha BSC Berlin | 3–2 |
| 2022-02-20 | Hertha BSC Berlin vs RB Leipzig | 1–6 |
| 2021-09-25 | RB Leipzig vs Hertha BSC Berlin | 6–0 |
| 2021-02-21 | Hertha BSC Berlin vs RB Leipzig | 0–3 |
| 2020-10-24 | RB Leipzig vs Hertha BSC Berlin | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Hertha BSC Berlin vs RB Leipzig?
- Tofiko's model favours RB Leipzig (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Hertha BSC Berlin vs RB Leipzig kick off?
- Sat, 08 Apr 2023 16:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2022-2023.
- What is the Hertha BSC Berlin vs RB Leipzig head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 4.17 goals per game.