RB Leipzig crestRB LeipzigvsSV Darmstadt 98 crestSV Darmstadt 98

RB Leipzig 2-0 SV Darmstadt 98 — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2023-2024Sat, 09 Mar 2024 14:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs RB Leipzig82%

  • RB Leipzig 82%
  • Draw 13%
  • SV Darmstadt 98 5%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick RB Leipzig, rating it at 82.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and RB Leipzig won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 82.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. RB Leipzig's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 2. SV Darmstadt 98's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.

The model puts the draw at 12.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

RB Leipzig: WWLLW

SV Darmstadt 98: LWLDD

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2024-03-09RB Leipzig vs SV Darmstadt 982–0
2023-10-21SV Darmstadt 98 vs RB Leipzig1–3

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FAQ

Who will win RB Leipzig vs SV Darmstadt 98?
Tofiko's model favours RB Leipzig (82% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does RB Leipzig vs SV Darmstadt 98 kick off?
Sat, 09 Mar 2024 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2023-2024.
What is the RB Leipzig vs SV Darmstadt 98 head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

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