VfL Bochumvs
RB LeipzigVfL Bochum 3-3 RB Leipzig — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2024-2025Sat, 18 Jan 2025 14:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs RB Leipzig61%
- VfL Bochum 19%
- Draw 20%
- RB Leipzig 61%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick RB Leipzig, rating it at 61.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and VfL Bochum won 1 of 8, with 2 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. RB Leipzig's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 2. VfL Bochum's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 20.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
VfL Bochum: LWWLD
RB Leipzig: WWLLW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 8Games
- 2.63Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-18 | VfL Bochum vs RB Leipzig | 3–3 |
| 2024-08-24 | RB Leipzig vs VfL Bochum | 1–0 |
| 2024-03-02 | VfL Bochum vs RB Leipzig | 1–4 |
| 2023-10-07 | RB Leipzig vs VfL Bochum | 0–0 |
| 2023-03-18 | VfL Bochum vs RB Leipzig | 1–0 |
| 2022-10-01 | RB Leipzig vs VfL Bochum | 4–0 |
| 2022-02-27 | VfL Bochum vs RB Leipzig | 0–1 |
| 2021-10-02 | RB Leipzig vs VfL Bochum | 3–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win VfL Bochum vs RB Leipzig?
- Tofiko's model favours RB Leipzig (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does VfL Bochum vs RB Leipzig kick off?
- Sat, 18 Jan 2025 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2024-2025.
- What is the VfL Bochum vs RB Leipzig head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.63 goals per game.