SV Darmstadt 98 crestSV Darmstadt 98vsSC Freiburg crestSC Freiburg

SV Darmstadt 98 0-1 SC Freiburg — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2023-2024Sun, 14 Apr 2024 13:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs SC Freiburg60%

  • SV Darmstadt 98 19%
  • Draw 20%
  • SC Freiburg 60%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick SC Freiburg, rating it at 60.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and SV Darmstadt 98 won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 60.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. SC Freiburg's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. SV Darmstadt 98's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.

The model puts the draw at 20.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • SC Freiburg's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

SV Darmstadt 98: LWLDD

SC Freiburg: WWWWW

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2024-04-14SV Darmstadt 98 vs SC Freiburg0–1
2023-11-25SC Freiburg vs SV Darmstadt 981–1

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FAQ

Who will win SV Darmstadt 98 vs SC Freiburg?
Tofiko's model favours SC Freiburg (60% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does SV Darmstadt 98 vs SC Freiburg kick off?
Sun, 14 Apr 2024 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2023-2024.
What is the SV Darmstadt 98 vs SC Freiburg head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

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