Augsburg crestAugsburgvsGreuther Furth crestGreuther Furth

Augsburg 2-1 Greuther Furth — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2021-2022Sat, 14 May 2022 13:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Augsburg64%

  • Augsburg 64%
  • Draw 21%
  • Greuther Furth 15%
Market implied probability

The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.

Create a free account

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Augsburg, rating it at 64.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Augsburg won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 64.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Augsburg's last 5 produced 29 goals — 5.8 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 2. Greuther Furth's 5 produced 20, at 4.0 per game.

The model puts the draw at 20.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Augsburg's games are very high-scoring at 5.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 3 Sep 2026.

Augsburg: WWLWW

Greuther Furth: WLLDW

Head-to-head

As of 3 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2022-05-14Augsburg vs Greuther Furth2–1
2021-12-18Greuther Furth vs Augsburg0–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Augsburg vs Greuther Furth?
Tofiko's model favours Augsburg (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Augsburg vs Greuther Furth kick off?
Sat, 14 May 2022 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2021-2022.
What is the Augsburg vs Greuther Furth head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

More predictions

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.