Greuther Furth crestGreuther FurthvsRB Leipzig crestRB Leipzig

Greuther Furth 1-6 RB Leipzig — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2021-2022Sun, 13 Mar 2022 18:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs RB Leipzig71%

  • Greuther Furth 13%
  • Draw 16%
  • RB Leipzig 71%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick RB Leipzig, rating it at 71.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Greuther Furth won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 71.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 16.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Greuther Furth's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 3 Sep 2026.

Greuther Furth: WLLDW

RB Leipzig: WWLLW

Head-to-head

As of 3 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 6.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2022-03-13Greuther Furth vs RB Leipzig1–6
2021-10-23RB Leipzig vs Greuther Furth4–1

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FAQ

Who will win Greuther Furth vs RB Leipzig?
Tofiko's model favours RB Leipzig (71% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Greuther Furth vs RB Leipzig kick off?
Sun, 13 Mar 2022 18:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2021-2022.
What is the Greuther Furth vs RB Leipzig head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 6.00 goals per game.

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