VfL Bochum crestVfL BochumvsGreuther Furth crestGreuther Furth

VfL Bochum 2-1 Greuther Furth — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2021-2022Sat, 05 Mar 2022 14:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs VfL Bochum57%

  • VfL Bochum 57%
  • Draw 22%
  • Greuther Furth 21%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick VfL Bochum, rating it at 57.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 5 times, and VfL Bochum won all of them. Across 5 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

They arrive from very different football. Greuther Furth's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. VfL Bochum's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.

The model puts the draw at 21.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Greuther Furth's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 3 Sep 2026.

VfL Bochum: LWWLD

Greuther Furth: WLLDW

Head-to-head

As of 3 Sep 2026.

  • 5Games
  • 2.60Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 80%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-23SpVgg Greuther Furth vs VfL Bochum1–2
2026-04-26VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Furth2–1
2025-11-29SpVgg Greuther Furth vs VfL Bochum0–3
2022-03-05VfL Bochum vs Greuther Furth2–1
2021-10-16Greuther Furth vs VfL Bochum0–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win VfL Bochum vs Greuther Furth?
Tofiko's model favours VfL Bochum (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does VfL Bochum vs Greuther Furth kick off?
Sat, 05 Mar 2022 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2021-2022.
What is the VfL Bochum vs Greuther Furth head-to-head record?
In their last 5 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.60 goals per game.

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