SV Darmstadt 98 crestSV Darmstadt 98vsBayern Munich crestBayern Munich

SV Darmstadt 98 2-5 Bayern Munich — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2023-2024Sat, 16 Mar 2024 14:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Bayern Munich86%

  • SV Darmstadt 98 4%
  • Draw 11%
  • Bayern Munich 86%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Bayern Munich, rating it at 85.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and SV Darmstadt 98 won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 85.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Bayern Munich's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. SV Darmstadt 98's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.

The model puts the draw at 10.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Bayern Munich's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

SV Darmstadt 98: LWLDD

Bayern Munich: WWWWW

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 7.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2024-03-16SV Darmstadt 98 vs Bayern Munich2–5
2023-10-28Bayern Munich vs SV Darmstadt 988–0

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FAQ

Who will win SV Darmstadt 98 vs Bayern Munich?
Tofiko's model favours Bayern Munich (86% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does SV Darmstadt 98 vs Bayern Munich kick off?
Sat, 16 Mar 2024 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2023-2024.
What is the SV Darmstadt 98 vs Bayern Munich head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 7.50 goals per game.

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