Borussia Dortmundvs
SV Darmstadt 98Borussia Dortmund 4-0 SV Darmstadt 98 — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2023-2024Sat, 18 May 2024 13:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Borussia Dortmund85%
- Borussia Dortmund 85%
- Draw 12%
- SV Darmstadt 98 4%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Borussia Dortmund, rating it at 84.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Borussia Dortmund won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 84.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Borussia Dortmund's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. SV Darmstadt 98's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 11.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Borussia Dortmund's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Borussia Dortmund: WWLDD
SV Darmstadt 98: LWLDD
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-18 | Borussia Dortmund vs SV Darmstadt 98 | 4–0 |
| 2024-01-13 | SV Darmstadt 98 vs Borussia Dortmund | 0–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs SV Darmstadt 98?
- Tofiko's model favours Borussia Dortmund (85% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Borussia Dortmund vs SV Darmstadt 98 kick off?
- Sat, 18 May 2024 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2023-2024.
- What is the Borussia Dortmund vs SV Darmstadt 98 head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.