1.FSV Mainz 05vs
SV Darmstadt 981.FSV Mainz 05 4-0 SV Darmstadt 98 — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2023-2024Sat, 06 Apr 2024 13:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs 1.FSV Mainz 0571%
- 1.FSV Mainz 05 71%
- Draw 18%
- SV Darmstadt 98 10%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick 1.FSV Mainz 05, rating it at 71.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and 1.FSV Mainz 05 won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 71.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. 1.FSV Mainz 05's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 2. SV Darmstadt 98's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 18.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- 1.FSV Mainz 05's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
1.FSV Mainz 05: DWWWD
SV Darmstadt 98: LWLDD
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-06 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Darmstadt 98 | 4–0 |
| 2023-11-11 | SV Darmstadt 98 vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Darmstadt 98?
- Tofiko's model favours 1.FSV Mainz 05 (71% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Darmstadt 98 kick off?
- Sat, 06 Apr 2024 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2023-2024.
- What is the 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Darmstadt 98 head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.