Arminia Bielefeld crestArminia Bielefeldvs1. FC Union Berlin crest1. FC Union Berlin

Arminia Bielefeld 1-0 1. FC Union Berlin — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2021-2022Sat, 19 Feb 2022 14:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs 1. FC Union Berlin42%

  • Arminia Bielefeld 30%
  • Draw 28%
  • 1. FC Union Berlin 42%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks 1. FC Union Berlin, rating it at 42.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Arminia Bielefeld won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. 1. FC Union Berlin's last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Arminia Bielefeld's 5 produced 16, at 3.2 per game.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • 1. FC Union Berlin's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 3 Sep 2026.

Arminia Bielefeld: LDWLL

1. FC Union Berlin: DWLWD

Head-to-head

As of 3 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 1.75Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 25%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2022-02-19Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Union Berlin1–0
2021-09-251. FC Union Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld1–0
2021-03-07Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Union Berlin0–0
2020-11-071. FC Union Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld5–0

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FAQ

Who will win Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Union Berlin?
Tofiko's model favours 1. FC Union Berlin (42% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Union Berlin kick off?
Sat, 19 Feb 2022 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2021-2022.
What is the Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Union Berlin head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.75 goals per game.

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