Hertha BSC Berlinvs
1. FC Union BerlinHertha BSC Berlin 0-2 1. FC Union Berlin — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2022-2023Sat, 28 Jan 2023 14:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs 1. FC Union Berlin41%
- Hertha BSC Berlin 34%
- Draw 25%
- 1. FC Union Berlin 41%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick 1. FC Union Berlin, rating it at 41.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Hertha BSC Berlin won 1 of 6, with 1 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 24.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- 1. FC Union Berlin's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 3 Sep 2026.
Hertha BSC Berlin: WDWWD
1. FC Union Berlin: DWLWD
Head-to-head
As of 3 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 3.17Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-01-28 | Hertha BSC Berlin vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 0–2 |
| 2022-08-06 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs Hertha BSC Berlin | 3–1 |
| 2022-04-09 | Hertha BSC Berlin vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 1–4 |
| 2021-11-20 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs Hertha BSC Berlin | 2–0 |
| 2021-04-04 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs Hertha BSC Berlin | 1–1 |
| 2020-12-04 | Hertha BSC Berlin vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 3–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Hertha BSC Berlin vs 1. FC Union Berlin?
- Tofiko's model favours 1. FC Union Berlin (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Hertha BSC Berlin vs 1. FC Union Berlin kick off?
- Sat, 28 Jan 2023 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2022-2023.
- What is the Hertha BSC Berlin vs 1. FC Union Berlin head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.17 goals per game.