Holstein Kiel crestHolstein KielvsVfB Stuttgart crestVfB Stuttgart

Holstein Kiel 2-2 VfB Stuttgart — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2024-2025Sat, 08 Mar 2025 14:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs VfB Stuttgart54%

  • Holstein Kiel 26%
  • Draw 20%
  • VfB Stuttgart 54%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick VfB Stuttgart, rating it at 53.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Holstein Kiel won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 53.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 20.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

Holstein Kiel: LWDDL

VfB Stuttgart: LWLWW

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-03-08Holstein Kiel vs VfB Stuttgart2–2
2024-10-26VfB Stuttgart vs Holstein Kiel2–1

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FAQ

Who will win Holstein Kiel vs VfB Stuttgart?
Tofiko's model favours VfB Stuttgart (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Holstein Kiel vs VfB Stuttgart kick off?
Sat, 08 Mar 2025 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2024-2025.
What is the Holstein Kiel vs VfB Stuttgart head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

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