VfL Bochumvs
SC FreiburgVfL Bochum 0-1 SC Freiburg — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2024-2025Sat, 01 Feb 2025 14:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs SC Freiburg48%
- VfL Bochum 29%
- Draw 23%
- SC Freiburg 48%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick SC Freiburg, rating it at 48.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and VfL Bochum won 1 of 8. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. SC Freiburg's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. VfL Bochum's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- SC Freiburg's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
VfL Bochum: LWWLD
SC Freiburg: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 8Games
- 2.38Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 63%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-01 | VfL Bochum vs SC Freiburg | 0–1 |
| 2024-09-14 | SC Freiburg vs VfL Bochum | 2–1 |
| 2024-03-10 | VfL Bochum vs SC Freiburg | 1–2 |
| 2023-10-21 | SC Freiburg vs VfL Bochum | 2–1 |
| 2023-02-18 | VfL Bochum vs SC Freiburg | 0–2 |
| 2022-08-26 | SC Freiburg vs VfL Bochum | 1–0 |
| 2022-04-16 | SC Freiburg vs VfL Bochum | 3–0 |
| 2021-11-27 | VfL Bochum vs SC Freiburg | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win VfL Bochum vs SC Freiburg?
- Tofiko's model favours SC Freiburg (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does VfL Bochum vs SC Freiburg kick off?
- Sat, 01 Feb 2025 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2024-2025.
- What is the VfL Bochum vs SC Freiburg head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 5 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.38 goals per game.