VfL Wolfsburg crestVfL WolfsburgvsHertha BSC Berlin crestHertha BSC Berlin

VfL Wolfsburg 1-2 Hertha BSC Berlin — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2022-2023Sat, 27 May 2023 13:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs VfL Wolfsburg55%

  • VfL Wolfsburg 55%
  • Draw 22%
  • Hertha BSC Berlin 23%
Market implied probability

The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.

Create a free account

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick VfL Wolfsburg, rating it at 55.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and VfL Wolfsburg won 3 of 6, with 2 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 21.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Hertha BSC Berlin's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

VfL Wolfsburg: WDWDW

Hertha BSC Berlin: WDWWD

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2023-05-27VfL Wolfsburg vs Hertha BSC Berlin1–2
2023-01-24Hertha BSC Berlin vs VfL Wolfsburg0–5
2022-01-15VfL Wolfsburg vs Hertha BSC Berlin0–0
2021-08-21Hertha BSC Berlin vs VfL Wolfsburg1–2
2021-02-27VfL Wolfsburg vs Hertha BSC Berlin2–0
2020-11-01Hertha BSC Berlin vs VfL Wolfsburg1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win VfL Wolfsburg vs Hertha BSC Berlin?
Tofiko's model favours VfL Wolfsburg (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does VfL Wolfsburg vs Hertha BSC Berlin kick off?
Sat, 27 May 2023 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2022-2023.
What is the VfL Wolfsburg vs Hertha BSC Berlin head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

More predictions

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.