VfL Wolfsburg crestVfL WolfsburgvsHolstein Kiel crestHolstein Kiel

VfL Wolfsburg 2-2 Holstein Kiel — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2024-2025Fri, 24 Jan 2025 19:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs VfL Wolfsburg56%

  • VfL Wolfsburg 56%
  • Draw 20%
  • Holstein Kiel 24%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick VfL Wolfsburg, rating it at 56.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and VfL Wolfsburg won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 56.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 19.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

VfL Wolfsburg: WDWDW

Holstein Kiel: LWDDL

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-01-24VfL Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel2–2
2024-08-31Holstein Kiel vs VfL Wolfsburg0–2

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FAQ

Who will win VfL Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel?
Tofiko's model favours VfL Wolfsburg (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does VfL Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel kick off?
Fri, 24 Jan 2025 19:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2024-2025.
What is the VfL Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

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