Werder Bremen crestWerder BremenvsSV Darmstadt 98 crestSV Darmstadt 98

Werder Bremen 1-1 SV Darmstadt 98 — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2023-2024Sat, 24 Feb 2024 14:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Werder Bremen68%

  • Werder Bremen 68%
  • Draw 19%
  • SV Darmstadt 98 13%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Werder Bremen, rating it at 68.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Werder Bremen won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 68.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Werder Bremen's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. SV Darmstadt 98's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.

The model puts the draw at 18.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

Werder Bremen: LWLDD

SV Darmstadt 98: LWLDD

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 4.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2024-02-24Werder Bremen vs SV Darmstadt 981–1
2023-10-01SV Darmstadt 98 vs Werder Bremen4–2

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FAQ

Who will win Werder Bremen vs SV Darmstadt 98?
Tofiko's model favours Werder Bremen (68% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Werder Bremen vs SV Darmstadt 98 kick off?
Sat, 24 Feb 2024 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2023-2024.
What is the Werder Bremen vs SV Darmstadt 98 head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.

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