Birmingham City F.C.vs
Queens Park Rangers F.C.Birmingham City F.C. vs Queens Park Rangers F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
EFL ChampionshipSat, 17 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Birmingham City F.C.52%
- Birmingham City F.C. 52%
- Draw 25%
- Queens Park Rangers F.C. 22%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Birmingham City F.C., rating it at 52.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Birmingham City F.C. won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 52.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Queens Park Rangers F.C.'s last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Birmingham City F.C.'s 5 produced 14, at 2.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 25.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Queens Park Rangers F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Birmingham City F.C.: DWWLW
Queens Park Rangers F.C.: LWWWW
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-11 | Birmingham City F.C. vs Queens Park Rangers F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-12-09 | Queens Park Rangers F.C. vs Birmingham City F.C. | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Birmingham City F.C. vs Queens Park Rangers F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Birmingham City F.C. (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Birmingham City F.C. vs Queens Park Rangers F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Birmingham City F.C. vs Queens Park Rangers F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.