Derby County F.C.vs
Stoke City F.C.Derby County F.C. vs Stoke City F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipSat, 17 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Derby County F.C.53%
Tofiko53% / 27% / 20%
- Derby County F.C.
- Draw
- Stoke City F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Derby County F.C., rating it at 52.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Derby County F.C. won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
Recent form
As of 22 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 25 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Derby County F.C.: DLLLW
Stoke City F.C.: WWDWW
Head-to-head
As of 22 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 25 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Derby County F.C. vs Stoke City F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-08-09 | Stoke City F.C. vs Derby County F.C. | 3–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Derby County F.C. vs Stoke City F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Derby County F.C. (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Derby County F.C. vs Stoke City F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Derby County F.C. vs Stoke City F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.