Derby County F.C.vs
Stoke City F.C.Derby County F.C. vs Stoke City F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
EFL ChampionshipSat, 17 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Derby County F.C.53%
- Derby County F.C. 53%
- Draw 27%
- Stoke City F.C. 20%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Derby County F.C., rating it at 52.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Derby County F.C. won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 52.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Derby County F.C.: DLWLL
Stoke City F.C.: DWWDL
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Derby County F.C. vs Stoke City F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-08-09 | Stoke City F.C. vs Derby County F.C. | 3–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Derby County F.C. vs Stoke City F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Derby County F.C. (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Derby County F.C. vs Stoke City F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Derby County F.C. vs Stoke City F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.