Bolton Wanderers F.C.vs
Derby County F.C.Bolton Wanderers F.C. vs Derby County F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipSat, 30 Jan 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Bolton Wanderers F.C.54%
- Bolton Wanderers F.C.
- Draw
- Derby County F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Bolton Wanderers F.C. or draw79%
- Draw or Derby County F.C.46%
- Bolton Wanderers F.C. or Derby County F.C.75%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.553%
- Under 2.547%
Both teams to score
- Bolton Wanderers F.C., last 10 home games5 of 10
- Derby County F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (565 games)59%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Bolton Wanderers F.C., rating it at 53.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
They arrive from very different football. Bolton Wanderers F.C.'s last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Derby County F.C.'s 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Bolton Wanderers F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 108 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Bolton Wanderers F.C.: WLWWL
Derby County F.C.: DDLLL
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Bolton Wanderers F.C. vs Derby County F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Bolton Wanderers F.C. (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Bolton Wanderers F.C. vs Derby County F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 30 Jan 2027 15:00 GMT — EFL Championship.