Bristol City crestBristol CityvsSouthampton F.C. crestSouthampton F.C.

Bristol City vs Southampton F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

EFL ChampionshipSat, 13 Feb 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Southampton F.C.50%

Tofiko24% / 26% / 50%
  • Bristol City
  • Draw
  • Southampton F.C.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Bristol City or draw50%
  • Draw or Southampton F.C.76%
  • Bristol City or Southampton F.C.74%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.555%
  • Under 2.545%

Both teams to score

  • Bristol City, last 10 home games3 of 10
  • Southampton F.C., last 10 away games7 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (565 games)59%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Southampton F.C., rating it at 49.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Bristol City won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Southampton F.C.'s last 5 produced 15 goals — 3.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Bristol City's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 122 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Bristol City: LDWWL

Southampton F.C.: WLWWD

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 122 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 3Games
  • 4.33Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-12Southampton F.C. vs Bristol City4–1
2026-04-21Southampton F.C. vs Bristol City2–2
2025-10-21Bristol City vs Southampton F.C.3–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Bristol City vs Southampton F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Southampton F.C. (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Bristol City vs Southampton F.C. kick off?
Sat, 13 Feb 2027 15:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Bristol City vs Southampton F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.33 goals per game.

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Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legSouthampton 4-1 Bristol City12 Sept 2026 →