Bristol City crestBristol CityvsStoke City F.C. crestStoke City F.C.

Bristol City vs Stoke City F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

EFL ChampionshipTue, 29 Dec 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Bristol City47%

Tofiko47% / 29% / 24%
  • Bristol City
  • Draw
  • Stoke City F.C.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Bristol City or draw76%
  • Draw or Stoke City F.C.53%
  • Bristol City or Stoke City F.C.71%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.540%
  • Under 2.560%

Both teams to score

  • Bristol City, last 10 home games3 of 10
  • Stoke City F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (565 games)59%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Bristol City, rating it at 46.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Bristol City won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Stoke City F.C.'s last 5 produced 16 goals — 3.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Bristol City's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 77 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Bristol City: LDWWL

Stoke City F.C.: LWWWD

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 77 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 2Games
  • 4.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-02Bristol City vs Stoke City F.C.2–0
2025-11-01Stoke City F.C. vs Bristol City5–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Bristol City vs Stoke City F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Bristol City (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Bristol City vs Stoke City F.C. kick off?
Tue, 29 Dec 2026 19:45 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Bristol City vs Stoke City F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.

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Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureStoke City vs Bristol City24 Oct 2026 →