Bristol City crestBristol CityvsSwansea City A.F.C. crestSwansea City A.F.C.

Bristol City vs Swansea City A.F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

EFL ChampionshipSat, 05 Dec 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Bristol City40%

Tofiko40% / 28% / 31%
  • Bristol City
  • Draw
  • Swansea City A.F.C.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Bristol City or draw69%
  • Draw or Swansea City A.F.C.60%
  • Bristol City or Swansea City A.F.C.72%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.546%
  • Under 2.554%

Both teams to score

  • Bristol City, last 10 home games3 of 10
  • Swansea City A.F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (565 games)59%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Bristol City, rating it at 40.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Bristol City won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Swansea City A.F.C.'s last 5 produced 15 goals — 3.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Bristol City's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 52 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Bristol City: LDWWL

Swansea City A.F.C.: WWWWL

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 52 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 2Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-21Swansea City A.F.C. vs Bristol City1–0
2025-11-22Bristol City vs Swansea City A.F.C.3–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Bristol City vs Swansea City A.F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Bristol City (40% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Bristol City vs Swansea City A.F.C. kick off?
Sat, 05 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Bristol City vs Swansea City A.F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureSwansea vs Bristol City16 Mar 2027 →