Middlesbrough F.C.vs
Swansea City A.F.C.Middlesbrough F.C. vs Swansea City A.F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipTue, 24 Nov 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Middlesbrough F.C.55%
- Middlesbrough F.C.
- Draw
- Swansea City A.F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Middlesbrough F.C. or draw81%
- Draw or Swansea City A.F.C.45%
- Middlesbrough F.C. or Swansea City A.F.C.74%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.545%
- Under 2.555%
Both teams to score
- Middlesbrough F.C., last 10 home games7 of 10
- Swansea City A.F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (565 games)59%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Middlesbrough F.C., rating it at 54.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Middlesbrough F.C. won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- Middlesbrough F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 42 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Middlesbrough F.C.: WWDDW
Swansea City A.F.C.: WWWWL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 42 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Swansea City A.F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2025-08-09 | Middlesbrough F.C. vs Swansea City A.F.C. | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Middlesbrough F.C. vs Swansea City A.F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Middlesbrough F.C. (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Middlesbrough F.C. vs Swansea City A.F.C. kick off?
- Tue, 24 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Middlesbrough F.C. vs Swansea City A.F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.