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Millwall F.C. crestMillwall F.C.vsDerby County F.C. crestDerby County F.C.

Millwall F.C. vs Derby County F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats

EFL ChampionshipSat, 31 Oct 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Millwall F.C.48%

Millwall F.C. 48%
Draw 28%
Derby County F.C. 24%
  • Millwall F.C. 48%
  • Draw 28%
  • Derby County F.C. 24%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Millwall F.C., rating it at 47.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Millwall F.C. won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 47.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Millwall F.C.: WDLLW

Derby County F.C.: DLWLL

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-10Millwall F.C. vs Derby County F.C.1–0
2025-12-10Derby County F.C. vs Millwall F.C.1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Millwall F.C. vs Derby County F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Millwall F.C. (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Millwall F.C. vs Derby County F.C. kick off?
Sat, 31 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Millwall F.C. vs Derby County F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

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