Millwall F.C.vs
Derby County F.C.Millwall F.C. vs Derby County F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipSat, 31 Oct 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Millwall F.C.48%
- Millwall F.C.
- Draw
- Derby County F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Millwall F.C. or draw76%
- Draw or Derby County F.C.52%
- Millwall F.C. or Derby County F.C.72%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.546%
- Under 2.554%
Both teams to score
- Millwall F.C., last 10 home games2 of 10
- Derby County F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (557 games)59%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Millwall F.C., rating it at 47.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Millwall F.C. won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 18 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Millwall F.C.: WDDLL
Derby County F.C.: DDLLL
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 18 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 1.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | Millwall F.C. vs Derby County F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-12-10 | Derby County F.C. vs Millwall F.C. | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Millwall F.C. vs Derby County F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Millwall F.C. (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Millwall F.C. vs Derby County F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 31 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Millwall F.C. vs Derby County F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.