Derby County F.C. crestDerby County F.C.vsMillwall F.C. crestMillwall F.C.

Derby County F.C. vs Millwall F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

EFL ChampionshipSat, 23 Jan 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Derby County F.C.36%

Tofiko36% / 29% / 35%
  • Derby County F.C.
  • Draw
  • Millwall F.C.

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Derby County F.C., rating it at 35.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Derby County F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.

Recent form

As of 22 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 123 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Derby County F.C.: DLLLW

Millwall F.C.: DDLLW

Head-to-head

As of 22 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 123 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 2Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-10Millwall F.C. vs Derby County F.C.1–0
2025-12-10Derby County F.C. vs Millwall F.C.1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Derby County F.C. vs Millwall F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Derby County F.C. (36% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Derby County F.C. vs Millwall F.C. kick off?
Sat, 23 Jan 2027 15:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Derby County F.C. vs Millwall F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureMillwall vs Derby31 Oct 2026 →