Preston North End F.C. vs Derby County F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
EFL ChampionshipSat, 26 Dec 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Derby County F.C.40%
- Preston North End F.C. 32%
- Draw 28%
- Derby County F.C. 40%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Derby County F.C., rating it at 40.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Preston North End F.C. won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Preston North End F.C.: LLLLL
Derby County F.C.: DLWLL
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 1.00Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | Preston North End F.C. vs Derby County F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Derby County F.C. vs Preston North End F.C. | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Preston North End F.C. vs Derby County F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Derby County F.C. (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Preston North End F.C. vs Derby County F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 26 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Preston North End F.C. vs Derby County F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.