Preston North End F.C.vs
Derby County F.C.Preston North End F.C. vs Derby County F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipSat, 26 Dec 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Derby County F.C.40%
- Preston North End F.C.
- Draw
- Derby County F.C.
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Preston North End F.C. or draw60%
- Draw or Derby County F.C.68%
- Preston North End F.C. or Derby County F.C.72%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.550%
- Under 2.550%
Both teams to score
- Preston North End F.C., last 10 home games6 of 10
- Derby County F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (565 games)59%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Derby County F.C., rating it at 40.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Preston North End F.C. won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 73 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Preston North End F.C.: LLDLL
Derby County F.C.: DDLLL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 73 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 1.00Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | Preston North End F.C. vs Derby County F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Derby County F.C. vs Preston North End F.C. | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Preston North End F.C. vs Derby County F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Derby County F.C. (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Preston North End F.C. vs Derby County F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 26 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Preston North End F.C. vs Derby County F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.