Sheffield United F.C.vs
Derby County F.C.Sheffield United F.C. vs Derby County F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
EFL ChampionshipSat, 24 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Sheffield United F.C.38%
- Sheffield United F.C. 38%
- Draw 26%
- Derby County F.C. 36%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Sheffield United F.C., rating it at 38.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Sheffield United F.C. won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 38.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Sheffield United F.C.: DWWDW
Derby County F.C.: DLWLL
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Derby County F.C. vs Sheffield United F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2025-11-01 | Sheffield United F.C. vs Derby County F.C. | 1–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Sheffield United F.C. vs Derby County F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Sheffield United F.C. (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Sheffield United F.C. vs Derby County F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 24 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Sheffield United F.C. vs Derby County F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.