Sheffield United F.C.vs
Derby County F.C.Sheffield United F.C. vs Derby County F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipSat, 24 Oct 2026 11:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Sheffield United F.C.38%
- Sheffield United F.C.
- Draw
- Derby County F.C.
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Sheffield United F.C. or draw64%
- Draw or Derby County F.C.62%
- Sheffield United F.C. or Derby County F.C.74%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.559%
- Under 2.541%
Both teams to score
- Sheffield United F.C., last 10 home games7 of 10
- Derby County F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (565 games)59%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Sheffield United F.C., rating it at 38.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Sheffield United F.C. won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 10 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Sheffield United F.C.: WLLLW
Derby County F.C.: DDLLL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 10 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Derby County F.C. vs Sheffield United F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2025-11-01 | Sheffield United F.C. vs Derby County F.C. | 1–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Sheffield United F.C. vs Derby County F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Sheffield United F.C. (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Sheffield United F.C. vs Derby County F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 24 Oct 2026 11:30 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Sheffield United F.C. vs Derby County F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.