Derby County F.C. crestDerby County F.C.vsSheffield United F.C. crestSheffield United F.C.

Derby County F.C. vs Sheffield United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

EFL ChampionshipTue, 29 Dec 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Derby County F.C.51%

Tofiko51% / 24% / 25%
  • Derby County F.C.
  • Draw
  • Sheffield United F.C.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Derby County F.C. or draw75%
  • Draw or Sheffield United F.C.50%
  • Derby County F.C. or Sheffield United F.C.76%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.559%
  • Under 2.541%

Both teams to score

  • Derby County F.C., last 10 home games6 of 10
  • Sheffield United F.C., last 10 away games4 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (565 games)59%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Derby County F.C., rating it at 50.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Derby County F.C. won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 77 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Derby County F.C.: DDLLL

Sheffield United F.C.: WLLLW

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 77 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 2Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-02Derby County F.C. vs Sheffield United F.C.1–2
2025-11-01Sheffield United F.C. vs Derby County F.C.1–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Derby County F.C. vs Sheffield United F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Derby County F.C. (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Derby County F.C. vs Sheffield United F.C. kick off?
Tue, 29 Dec 2026 19:45 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Derby County F.C. vs Sheffield United F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureSheffield Utd vs Derby24 Oct 2026 →