Southampton F.C.vs
Birmingham City F.C.Southampton F.C. vs Birmingham City F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipTue, 20 Apr 2027 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Southampton F.C.59%
- Southampton F.C.
- Draw
- Birmingham City F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Southampton F.C. or draw83%
- Draw or Birmingham City F.C.41%
- Southampton F.C. or Birmingham City F.C.76%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.554%
- Under 2.546%
Both teams to score
- Southampton F.C., last 10 home games8 of 10
- Birmingham City F.C., last 10 away games5 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (565 games)59%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Southampton F.C., rating it at 58.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Southampton F.C. won 1 of 3, with 2 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 189 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Southampton F.C.: WLWWD
Birmingham City F.C.: WWDWL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 189 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 2.67Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Birmingham City F.C. vs Southampton F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2025-12-29 | Birmingham City F.C. vs Southampton F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2025-12-06 | Southampton F.C. vs Birmingham City F.C. | 3–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Southampton F.C. vs Birmingham City F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Southampton F.C. (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Southampton F.C. vs Birmingham City F.C. kick off?
- Tue, 20 Apr 2027 18:45 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Southampton F.C. vs Birmingham City F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.