Southampton F.C.vs
Middlesbrough F.C.Southampton F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
EFL ChampionshipSat, 28 Nov 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Southampton F.C.45%
- Southampton F.C. 45%
- Draw 27%
- Middlesbrough F.C. 28%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Southampton F.C., rating it at 45.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Southampton F.C. won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 45.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Southampton F.C.: WWWDD
Middlesbrough F.C.: WDLDL
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-12 | Southampton F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Middlesbrough F.C. vs Southampton F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2026-01-04 | Middlesbrough F.C. vs Southampton F.C. | 4–0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Southampton F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C. | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Southampton F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Southampton F.C. (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Southampton F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 28 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Southampton F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 3 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.