Southampton F.C.vs
Middlesbrough F.C.Southampton F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipSat, 28 Nov 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Southampton F.C.45%
- Southampton F.C.
- Draw
- Middlesbrough F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Southampton F.C. or draw72%
- Draw or Middlesbrough F.C.55%
- Southampton F.C. or Middlesbrough F.C.73%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.550%
- Under 2.550%
Both teams to score
- Southampton F.C., last 10 home games8 of 10
- Middlesbrough F.C., last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (565 games)59%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Southampton F.C., rating it at 45.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Southampton F.C. won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- Middlesbrough F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 45 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Southampton F.C.: WLWWD
Middlesbrough F.C.: WWDDW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 45 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 4Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-12 | Southampton F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Middlesbrough F.C. vs Southampton F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2026-01-04 | Middlesbrough F.C. vs Southampton F.C. | 4–0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Southampton F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C. | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Southampton F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Southampton F.C. (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Southampton F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 28 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Southampton F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 3 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.