Southampton F.C. vs West Ham United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipTue, 29 Dec 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Southampton F.C.62%
- Southampton F.C.
- Draw
- West Ham United F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Southampton F.C. or draw84%
- Draw or West Ham United F.C.38%
- Southampton F.C. or West Ham United F.C.78%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.556%
- Under 2.544%
Both teams to score
- Southampton F.C., last 10 home games8 of 10
- West Ham United F.C., last 10 away games8 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (565 games)59%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Southampton F.C., rating it at 62.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and Southampton F.C. won none of them. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- West Ham United F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 77 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Southampton F.C.: WLWWD
West Ham United F.C.: DDLWW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 77 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 9Games
- 2.11Avg goals
- 44%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Southampton F.C. vs West Ham United F.C. | 1–4 |
| 2025-04-19 | West Ham United F.C. vs Southampton F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2024-12-26 | Southampton F.C. vs West Ham United F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2023-04-02 | West Ham United vs Southampton | 1–0 |
| 2022-10-16 | Southampton vs West Ham United | 1–1 |
| 2021-12-26 | West Ham United vs Southampton | 2–3 |
| 2021-09-11 | Southampton vs West Ham United | 0–0 |
| 2021-05-23 | West Ham United vs Southampton | 3–0 |
| 2020-12-29 | Southampton vs West Ham United | 0–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Southampton F.C. vs West Ham United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Southampton F.C. (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Southampton F.C. vs West Ham United F.C. kick off?
- Tue, 29 Dec 2026 19:45 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Southampton F.C. vs West Ham United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 2 home wins, 4 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.11 goals per game.