Stoke City F.C. crestStoke City F.C.vsWatford F.C. crestWatford F.C.

Stoke City F.C. vs Watford F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

EFL ChampionshipSat, 13 Feb 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Stoke City F.C.43%

Tofiko43% / 30% / 28%
  • Stoke City F.C.
  • Draw
  • Watford F.C.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Stoke City F.C. or draw72%
  • Draw or Watford F.C.57%
  • Stoke City F.C. or Watford F.C.70%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.540%
  • Under 2.560%

Both teams to score

  • Stoke City F.C., last 10 home games5 of 10
  • Watford F.C., last 10 away games5 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (565 games)59%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Stoke City F.C., rating it at 42.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Stoke City F.C. won 2 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 123 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Stoke City F.C.: LWWWD

Watford F.C.: LLLLW

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 123 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 3Games
  • 2.67Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-12Watford F.C. vs Stoke City F.C.1–2
2026-03-14Stoke City F.C. vs Watford F.C.3–1
2025-12-20Watford F.C. vs Stoke City F.C.1–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Stoke City F.C. vs Watford F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Stoke City F.C. (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Stoke City F.C. vs Watford F.C. kick off?
Sat, 13 Feb 2027 15:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Stoke City F.C. vs Watford F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legWatford 1-2 Stoke City12 Sept 2026 →